Judgment and decision: theory and application.

نویسندگان

  • G F Pitz
  • N J Sachs
چکیده

INTR ODUCT ION . . . . . . . . . . .......... . . ............. . . . . . .......... . . . . . ... . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . ...... 139 THE ORETICAL OR IENTAT ION S . . . . . . . . . . . ... . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . .. . . . ........ . . . .......... .. . .... . . 1 4 1 Historical Background ....... . ......... ..... . . . . . . . . . . ... .. . . . ........................... ..... . . . 1 4 1 Prescriptive Theories................... .......... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . 141 Algebraic Models of Judgment and Decision . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. .... . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . ... 1 44 Information Processing Orientations . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .... . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . .. . . . 145 JU DGMENT AN D DEC ISI ON PR OCE SSE S . . . . . . .... . .. . ..... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 147 Sources of Information and Uncertainty . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ... . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . .. . . .. . 147 Bases for Inferences.............................................................................. 149 Conflict, Integration, and Tradeoff............................................................ 1 5 1 Behavioral Strategies i n Judgment and Choice.............................................. 152 Development of Judgment and Decision Skills . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . ..... . . .. . . ... ..... . . . . . ... . 154 APPLICAT ION S OF THE OR Y AN D R ESEARCH . . . . . . .. .. . .. . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . 155 Building a Structure for the Problem .. . . .... ....... . . . . . .. . . ... . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . .. . . .... . . 155 Incorporating Judgments into the Aid ...... .............. . . ........ ........................... 156 Evaluation and Implementation of Decision Aids . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ... . . .. . . . . . ... . . . . . . .. . . 1 58 C ONC LUS ION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 59

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عنوان ژورنال:
  • Annual review of psychology

دوره 35  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 1984